European Commission Directorate General Information Society and Media ICT for Transport André VITS Head of Unit eSafety in action… ETSC Best in Europe Conference 2006 Brussels, 21-22 February 2006
European Commission Directorate General Information Society and Media ICT for Transport
André VITS Head of Unit eSafety in action… ETSC Best in Europe Conference 2006 Brussels, 21-22 February 2006
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Introduction The eSafety Initiative – where do we stand?... The future steps
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Moving Towards Co-operative Systems
... A vision for the future: basic functions defined, but technology not available Improving traffic systems efficiency: Traffic management: data – information - guidance Deepening of the topics Basic inputs to Standardisation (GDT, ATT Alert…) Moving to Field trials Services and Safety Systems Safety Systems Moving to Cooperative Systems Intelligent Transport Systems Intelligent Transport Infrastructure Cooperative Systems IST 6th FP IST 5th FP TAP 4th FP IST 7th FP DRIVE 2 DRIVE 1 Prometheus (EUREKA) 1988-1991 1987… 1990-1994 1994-1998 1998-2002 2002-2006 2006-2010
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Road Fatalities in Europe …
Transport in EU25 Road Accidents (200data) 43.500 fatalities 1.3 million accidents involving injury 2.0 million injuries Source: DG TREN-Statistical Pocket Book 200Main Causes and driving errors: 95% of all road accidents involve some human error In 76% of the cases the human is solely to blame Misjudging, driving dynamics, weather (50%) Distraction (38%) 39% of Passengers vehicles and 26% of trucks do not activate brakes before a collision Some 40% more do not brake effectively Underlying Causes: Alcohol Inexperience Tiredness
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European Road Safety Action Programme
The Commission road safety action programme aims at reducing the number of fatalities by 50%, by the year 2010 by sharing of responsibilities (EU, Member States, regional and local authorities, industry, transport companies and private users) encouraging road users to improve their behaviour, to make vehicle safer, and to improve road infrastructure providing for the setting up of a European Road Safety Observatory proposing the subscription to a European Road Safety Charter originating the eSafety Initiative (leader DG INFSO) In Sept’01 the Commission adopted a White Paper on the European Transport Policy which describes what should be done in the near future in the road sector. the road safety issue is a major concern Halving the number of road accident victims in the EU by 2010 A shared responsibility Leader DG TREN
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The problem of market implementation
6 Market implementation takes too long Most intelligent systems are not yet on the market ABS 20 years to full penetration ESP 10 years to reach 40% of market ACC more than 25 years since development phase and yet a very low penetration rate Main reasons legal barriers competitive situation of the automotive sector high cost of intelligent systems lack of customer demand lack of information
6 Unfortunately, despite their potential, most of these intelligent systems are not yet on the market and the vehicles that are fitted with telematics or with new generation active safety features are mainly luxury cars representing a small percentage of the market. For some successful active safety systems, for example, large-scale deployment faced several problems and took very long periods of time. This has been the case with the introduction of the ABS (20 years); the ESP (10 years to reach 40% of market penetration) and ACC (more than 25 years since the start of the development phase and yet a very low penetration rate). The main reasons are legal barriers, the extremely competitive situation of the automotive sector with narrow margins and low return on investment, the high cost of intelligent systems and the consequent lack of customer demand, the lack of information, throughout society, about the potential benefits of these systems and a clear business case ABS: Anti
Awareness raising: a key issue
7 EUROTEST survey Sample of almost 2800 drivers Only half the drivers were familiar with existing basic in-vehicle technologies providing active and passive safety Only 50% of them knew what an ABS does Survey conclusions: "more needs to be done, on both the European and national level, to raise the awareness about safer, cleaner and more economical driving
7 A survey done by EUROTEST on a representative sample of almost 2800 drivers showed that only half the drivers surveyed were familiar with existing basic in-vehicle technologies providing active and passive safety (only 50% of them, for example, knew what an antilock braking system (ABS) does,). The same survey also concluded that "more needs to be done, on both the European and national level, to raise the awareness about safer, cleaner and more economical driving". Citizens and policy makers cannot be expected to invest or promote technology unless its benefits and usefulness are clear.
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Introduction The eSafety Initiative – where do we stand?... The future steps
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The eSafety Initiative
Forum Plenary: Platform for consensus among stakeholders (currently over 150 members) High-Level Meetings with Industry and Member States defining strategy Working Groups: Solution-oriented, reporting to the Forum Mailbox info: INFSO-eSafety@cec.eu.int was launched in 2002 as a joint initiative of the European Commission, industry and other stakeholders. It aims at accelerating the development, deployment and use of Intelligent Integrated Safety Systems that use Information and Communication Technologies (ITC) in intelligent solutions, in order to increase road safety and reduce the number of accidents on Europe's roads.
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The 1st eSafety Communication
10 "Information and Communications Technologies for Safe and Intelligent Vehicles" COM(2003)542 Final, 15.9.2003 3 priorities: eCall (Pan-European eCall) RTTI (Real-Time Traffic & Travel Information) HMI (Human-Machine Interaction)
10 Promoting Intelligent Vehicle Safety systems: From the expert report, priority on Support the eSafety Forum Priorities in RTD activities 3 specific issues - HMI eCall RTTI Adapting the regulatory and standardisation provisions: ! 24 GHz short range radar Societal and business obstacles: Focus on Cost/benefits and Implementation Road maps
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eSafety Forum: the Completed WGs Real-TimeTraffic and Travel Information WG Chair: Prof. G. Siegle – BOSCH Digital Maps WG Chairs: A. Bastiaansen – TeleAtlas Y. Moissidis – Navteq Human Machine Interaction WG Chairs: A. Stevens – TRL C. Gelau – BAST A. Pauzie– INRETS Accident Causation Analysis WG Chair: M. Hollingsworth – ACEA Heavy- Duty Vehicles WG Chair: J. Trost – DaimlerChrysler Final Reports are available at the websites
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eSafety Forum: The Active WGs 2006 Plenary Sessions HL Meetings Service Oriented Architectures Chairs: Implementation Road Map Chairs: H-J Mäurer – DEKRA Prof. R. Kulmala – VTT Steering Committee Chair: A. Vits – EC eSafety Support eCall Driving Group Chairs: M. Nielsen – ERTICO W. Reinhardt – ACEA Communications WG Chair: U. Daniel, Bosch Research and Technological Development WG Chairs: U. Palmqvist – Eucar G. Pellischek - CLEPA Active New User Outreach WG Chair: J. Grill – AIT/FIA International Cooperation WG Chair: J. Bangsgaard - ERTICO
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The pan-European eCall: WHY?
Build on E112 Reduction of average response time to the accident: 50% in Rural Areas 40% in Urban Areas Reduction of accidents severity 15% to less severe medical category Annual lives saving Estimated to be over 2.500 in EU 15 Costs savings (exceed many times needed investments) ~ 21 billion Euro in EU 15 annually With 100% penetration rate by 2010: More than 2500 lives saved (< 5%-10%) 10% - 20% less congestion 2 - 4 billion€ cost saving (source SEiSS study) Impact
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112, E-112, eCall
112 Telco Operator ISDN Fixed network + CLI PSAP E-112 ISDN Fixed network PSAP Mobile Telco Operator + Best Location eCall Voice (E-112) MSD Voice (E-112) ISDN Fixed network PSAP Data (+ Best location if needed) Private Service Provider (Optional added value services) FSD Voice GNSS CLI: Call Line Identifier MSD: Minimum Set of Data FSD: Full set of Data
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Real-Time Traffic and Travel Information
Goal: 80 % of all journeys served with adequate, standardised services by 2010 Short term: RDS/TMC Longer term: mode advanced services with more advanced technologies for broadcasting and communications To identify and remove the obstacles for European-wide implementation of RTTI services
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Human-Machine Interaction
Crucial activity in 2005-2006! Progress Achieved: Final Report issued with recommendations to all stakeholders Expert meeting held in March’05 in Paris National dissemination actions foreseen Drafting of new ESoP started New version of ESoP presented in a public Workshop on 28th of June’05 Final version targeted for May‘06 To analyze ways to increase user awareness/user demand
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Implementation Road Map
17 Main objectives: To develop regularly reviewed road map which focuses technological steps and economic implication models for introduction of intelligent integrated road safety systems as well as the required improvements in road and information infrastructure To identify the technical and economical potentials of the industry as well as the topics and time table for infrastructure improvements by the public sector with regards to eSafety systems capable of affecting road fatalities in Europa by 2010
17 Information and Communication Technologies (ICT), which enable building Intelligent Cars, provide new intelligent solutions that contribute to solving the key societal challenges described above by increasing road safety, the overall efficiency of the transport systems and by contributing to a more efficient use of fuel. These intelligent systems can assist the driver in the driving functions preventing or avoiding accidents, they can provide drivers with real time information about the road network avoiding congestion, and they can optimise a journey or the engine performance improving overall energy efficiency. These intelligent systems address the interaction between the driver, the vehicle and the road environment, in an integrated approach where the autonomous on-board systems are complemented with vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure co-operative technologies and improved traffic network management.
Implementation Road Map: ESP
Effect of ESP installed after 2005 Business as usual: 2010: ca. 1,000 lives (2,300 M€) 2020: ca. 2,400 lives (5,400 M€) eSafety actions (incentives etc.): 2010: ca. 1,400 lives (3,100 M€) 2020: ca. 3,400 lives (7,800 M€)
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Implementation Road Maps
Estimation of market penetration example (penetration for new cars) Very high 80 -100% High 50 - 80% Medium 20 - 50% Low 5 - 20% Very low 0 - 5%
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Implementation Road Map: DTM
Note: motorways/TERN; only DTM impl. after 2005 Business as usual: 2010: ca. 50 lives (200 M€) 2020: ca. 200 lives (750 M€) eSafety actions (incentives etc.): 2010: ca. 150 lives (550 M€) 2020: ca. 400 lives (1350 M€)
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