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BEIR VII: “The very error of the moon.” Othello, Act II Herbert L. Abrams

30-40 times annual natural background exposure 10 times that of a CT Scan 1000 times that of a chest film. We defined “low level” radiation as a range from near zero up to 100 milliSieverts (mSv).

Outer space The Ground Basic Activities such as eating, drinking & breathing Background: radiation from the natural environment represents 82% of human exposure.

CONTRIBUTION OF MAN-MADE RADIATION SOURCES (18%) RELATIVE TO BACKGROUND RADIATION (82%)

Medical & Dental X-Ray Diagnostic Procedures Examinations & Dose Averages 1985-1990 Average Annual Total Medical Exams: 1200 per 1000 1985-1990 Average Annual Total Dental Exams: 400 per 1000 1980 Average Annual Effective Dose Per patient examined: 50 millirem Photo Credit: Procare4U Data Source: Los Alamos, 1995

Effective Doses From Diagnostic X-Ray Procedures Data Source: Los Alamos, 1995

Nuclear Medicine Procedures Per Annum 1985-1990 Average Number of Procedures 26 per 1000 persons 1982 Average Effective Dose Per Patient 500 millirem Data Source: Los Alamos, 1995

Effective Doses Per Diagnostic Nuclear Medicine Procedures CSPmedical.com Data Source: Los Alamos, 1995

Mechanism of Cancer Induction

Damage to DNA Single strand breaks Double strand breaks Oxidative changes in nucleotide bases DNA deletions; gene and chromosome damage

BEIR VII Committee Conclusions Linear Non-Threshold model of cancer risk prediction validated No evidence of a threshold below which no cellular damage occurs

Radiation Related Cancer Risk ______ Linear No Threshold Model

BEIR VII Committee Conclusions Significant lifetime excess risks were determined for 12 cancers, including lung, liver, breast, prostate, stomach, colon, thyroid and leukemia

Women Radiation related cancer mortality risks for woman averaged 37.5% higher than for men in the solid tumors

Excess Cases of Cancer per 100,000 Exposed Persons (Exposed at 30, Attained Age 60) 17,500 22,100 Number of Deaths in the Absence of Exposure 610 410 Excess deaths from Exposure 36,900 45,500 Number of Cases in the Absence of Exposure 1300 800 Excess Cases from Exposure to 100 mSv Females Males ALL SOLID CANCER

Exposure in infants, as compared to adults, produces 3-4 times the cancer risk. Small Children Photo: Stepin.org Female infants have almost double the risk of males.

Unlike BEIR V, BEIR VII contained both incidence & mortality figures.

At low doses, the risk, though increased, is small, one excess cancer in 100 exposed persons during their lifetime. Mortality, as opposed to incidence, would be about one-half.

          Likelihood of Excess Cancer Vs. Cancer Incidence in 100 Unexposed Persons over Lifetime

No impact of low levels on heart disease, in contrast to high doses. No definite genetic effects in the offspring of A-bomb survivors.

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Abrams_-_BEIR_VII_PPT_V2
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BEIR VII: “The very error of the moon.” Othello, Act II Herbert L. Abrams
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radiat | cancer | risk | dose | effect | beir | exposur | averag
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10/12/2005 10:25:22 PM
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